The democratic party seems to be in an antagonistic contradiction. The Neoliberal establishment, benefitting the oil, fracking, mining, and manufacturing industries, is becoming increasingly hostile towards the social-reformist faction, which looks to attempt to adopt a massively regulated economy to deal with climate change and the economic crisis. It is in the democratic establishment’s interest to have a contested Bernie plurality leading to a Biden nomination or to outright override the popular decision in the case of a majority. This would split the Democratic Party; popular social-reformist media figures such as Kyle Kulinski have called for a coup de fête populaire at the Democratic National Convention if a Sanders plurality results in a Biden nomination, and whether or not this is successful is not relevant.
This will cause a party split, with Sanders supporters creating a new progressive party or the democratic party forming a centrist liberal party, as in the election of 1912. Electoral votes would go to candidates as such: Trump would get the most, with the republican party as united as ever around trump; Bernie the second most, as the nature of a plurality is that there are more Bernie voters than Biden voters; and third most would be Biden, the disgraced centrist remains of the Democratic Party either endorsing Trump or coming in dead last, irrelevant and moribund. This is what happens in an American party split. The reason Woodrow Wilson won the election in 1912 is because the republican party was split between William Taft and Theodore Roosevelt, who created the Bull Moose progressive splinter party.
So where does this lead us? The Republicans would clearly be in the plurality in congress, considering a split in a party means a split in all politics, not just presidential. As is the nature of a plurality, the Republicans could not get anything passed through congress without forming a coalition with one of the other parties in order to secure a majority. Unless the partisan blocs formerly unified as the democratic party can form a united opposition, this inevitably leads to one outcome: the president de facto having a monopoly on both executive and legislative power. If congress is in deadlock, the president chooses how to execute the current law, making the decision theirs. If the Republicans can form a coalition with another party, then it gets passed through the traditional congressional means.
So we have a Neo-conservative monopoly on state power. What does this mean? Neoconservatism is quite the fascistic ideology; it openly promotes Imperialism, Colonialism, and American supremacy, as long as Ultranationalism, scapegoating, and a rebirth mentality. Nationalism is quite the important tenant of Neoconservatism, as is seen in Trump’s claims that he is a nationalist. He also openly calls immigrants “rapists and murderers” and says that it is not the fault of the corporate executive who thought it was more profitable to hire illegal immigrants, but the fault of the illegal immigrants themselves, as to scapegoat them as the country’s true problem.
The thing that really separates Neoconservatism and Fascism, other than explicit authoritarian centralisation and one-man rule (which internally is the case in most political parties, including the Republican Party) is economics. Fascism likes Keynesian economics as social democrats do to keep the economy pointed in a sensible direction for the capitalists. Neo-conservatism likes laissez-faire, which is inherently incompatible with fascism, due to its need for that direction. Note that Keynesianism actually tries to expand the private sector’s size; despite removing certain sectors like healthcare, it creates new markets by creating new demand for product in programs like the New Deal, rearmament, and the holocaust (oops). One reason many people mistake Nazi-fascism for socialism isn’t just because of its name, but also its social welfare programs.
But let’s back up a bit; What is Fascism? Yes, Fascism includes the abolishment of political and cultural Liberalism, radical traditionalism and fierce nationalism, and the combination of state and corporate power. But how and why does it come to power? When a major crisis of capitalism is occurring, such as during the Great Depression, the people abandon liberalism, as history has shown. they eventually polarise into two distinct ideologies: Fascism and Socialism. Fascism is a reactionary ideology that attempts to save capitalism via force, crushing workers’ strikes, sending Communists to concentration camps, breeding hatred among peoples, and appeasing the workers with social programs. Such is the true purpose of Fascism: the preservation of capital. Brownshirts and Blackshirts work with the police to suppress strikes and protests before it comes to power, and the Liberals and Conservatives already in power assist its rise by forming coalitions with them, inside their party or out. When Capitalism is threatened, the bought politicians and their state do all they can to preserve it. Socialism is a threat to their power, and they will not let that go so easily.
And what of Social Democracy? Social Democracy serves the same purpose, albeit by different means: the preservation of capital. Give concessions to the workers, and there is no immediate need for them to overthrow the capitalist order. So we arrive at an uncomfortable truth: Social Democracy is the moderate wing of Fascism. And what historically happens when Fascists rise? The useful Social Democrats are absorbed into the Fascist government, and the too pro-labourist elements are purged. The Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands, or SPD (Social Democrats), played a crucial role in aiding the Nazis in the crushing of the Kommunistische Partei Deutschlands (Marxists) or KPD. They also assisted in crushing the German Revolution of 1918-1919, in which they fought with the Freikorps to defeat the libertarian Marxist Spartacist League (later turned into the KPD) and execute their leadership of Rosa Luxemburg and Karl Liebknecht.
So American politics are headed towards Fascism, divided into two wings: Social-Fascism and absolute Fascism. As the economic crash of 2020 causes an incredible reduction in the quality of life, there will be more polarisation. This will cause Social Democrats to either move towards Fascism or Socialism, and force the Republicans to adopt Keynesianism. We will see the radicalisation of Americans very soon. Americans have two choices: Socialism or barbarism. What will they choose? It is up to them.
Socialism is Humanism! 